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Prediction for CME (2021-06-29T10:53:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2021-06-29T10:53ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/17173/-1 CME Note: This CME is associated with an eruption and subsequent EUV wave observed from the unnumbered active region centered near N20E05 on the Earth-facing disk starting around 2021-06-29T05:00Z as seen in SDO AIA 171/193. CME ARRIVAL NOTE: There was no arrival detected by DSCOVR/ACE data. CME was not detected at Earth. Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: ---- Predicted Arrival Time: 2021-07-02T18:46Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) Prediction Method: EAM (Effective Acceleration Model) Prediction Method Note: % Compiled module: EAM_V3. ****************************************************************************** Most pr. speed = 275.0 km/s Upgraded EAMv3 output: u_r = 194.925 Acceleration: 2.28491 Duration in seconds: 287609.85 Duration in days: 3.3288177 t2 is negative ************************************************************************************** Acceleration of the CME: 2.28 m/s^2 Velocity of the CME at 1 AU: 852.1 km/s Expected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 02/07/2021 Time: 18:46 UTLead Time: 42.77 hour(s) Difference: ----- Prediction submitted by Evangelos Paouris (JHUAPL) on 2021-07-01T00:00Z |
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